http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-23061391

Still think the Labor Party will get hammered at the elections in Sept. especially as Rudd publically said he wouldn't stand against Julia Gillard and then did

There is probably a very short window when the new leader has any real chance but he or she has to be very different from the previous leader if the party was struggling in the polls. It might mean a complete change of policies, which is not always possible when so many have committed themselves to them previously.