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House prices 'now at 2006 levels'
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Author:  pcernie [ Wed Jul 28, 2010 12:44 pm ]
Post subject:  House prices 'now at 2006 levels'

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-10789361

Quote:
Forecasts

Extra austerity measures could reduce people's confidence about buying homes, according to Howard Archer, of IHS Global Insight.

"The only marginal house price rise in June reported by the Land Registry maintains our belief that house prices will fall back over the latter months of 2010 and very likely soften further in 2011," he said.

In real terms, house prices could fall by 8% from now to 2015, according to a report by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR).

"While we have assumed the housing market remains stable, there remains the risk that house prices in the UK could decline at a more rapid pace," the report said.

"By 2015, real house prices are expected to fall back only to the level of 2003."

A separate forecast published earlier this months by accountants PricewaterhouseCoopers suggested that house prices might not reach the levels seen at the peak of the market for another decade.


Those predictions are very good for me personally (though I obviously don't wanna take them at face value just cos I hope/reckon they're likely)...

Author:  Amnesia10 [ Wed Jul 28, 2010 1:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: House prices 'now at 2006 levels'

There might be local hotspots but overall prices still have a long way to fall. Ireland has had a huge drop and yet many still expect even more falls in home values. That must happen here since we are following the same formula as Ireland, of austerity.

Author:  veato [ Wed Jul 28, 2010 1:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: House prices 'now at 2006 levels'

Thats right. Keep coming down. 2yrs and I might be able to get on the housing market without selling a kindey for an overpriced shed.

Author:  Amnesia10 [ Wed Jul 28, 2010 2:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: House prices 'now at 2006 levels'

I think that it depends on how the government manipulate the market. Banks and building societies will not lend without a big deposit because they suspect a big fall to come. If things deteriorate further then it could be 2030 or later before prices are back at the levels of the peak. That will seriously ruin their reputation as an investment.

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